UN IPCC Apologises For Flawed Glacier Prediction
("For all those who believe in the unquestionable academic Integrity of peer-reviews and Scientists ability to predict apocalyptic futures!
IT'S TIME TO WAKE UP NOW !!!???
How does something this wrong happen and if so what else is wrong within the IPCC.Just the tip of the ice berg.Watch them fall in 2010". Carbonman 21/01/2010)
'The Chair, Vice-Chairs, and Co-chairs of the IPCC regret the poor application of well-established IPCC procedures in this instance'.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/presentations/himalaya-statement-20january2010.pdf
THE United Nations' top climate change body has issued an unprecedented apology over its flawed prediction that Himalayan glaciers were likely to disappear by 2035.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said Wednesday that the prediction in its landmark 2007 report was "poorly substantiated" and resulted from a lapse in standards.
"In drafting the paragraph in question the clear and well-established standards of evidence, required by the IPCC procedures, were not applied properly," the panel said.
"The chair, vice-chair and co-chairs of the IPCC regret the poor application of IPCC procedures in this instance."
The stunning admission is certain to embolden critics of the panel, already under fire over a separate scandal involving hacked e-mails last year.
The 2007 report, which won the panel the Nobel Peace Prize, said that the probability of Himalayan glaciers "disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high".
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/un-apologises-for-flawed-glacier-prediction/story-e6frg6so-1225822246312/
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Saturday, January 16, 2010
BBC Propaganda Machine Of Bent Science Strikes Again..This Time It's David Shukman.
The BBC make a very good example of how The Mythology of Man-Made Global Warming is perpetuated by a media machine bent on a blind political agenda rather than delivering reliable information.I have brought this up here before (Aug 2009 'BBC Policy to Stifle Global Warming Science Critics'), with reference to accusations from celebrated botanist David Bellamy and retired BBC news anchor man Peter Sissons, and here we find this obvious corruption of broadcasting again illustrated clearly in the article below which comes interestingly enough from a Blogger at http://www.biased-bbc.blogspot.com./in reference to the BBC's latest attempt to explain away Britains coldest winter in many years.
carbonman 16/01/2010
David Shukman on weather and climate
Thursday, January 07, 2010
Following yesterday's item aimed at making sure the kids are still on message about MMGW, today we had Newsround for grown-ups. In a report which aired on the 6 pm news on both BBC 1 and Radio 4 this evening, David Shukman explained:
"The key thing is that there's a difference between the weather and the climate. The weather's what you get day by day, month by month, like this cold spell. But the climate is the kind of weather you get over a thirty year period, and that's what the scientists say is changing."
He was a little less clear about any distinctions back in May 2008 when he reported on a dry spell affecting Spain:
In a year that so far ranks as Spain's driest since records began 60 years ago, the reservoir is currently holding as little as 18% of its capacity - at a time of year when winter rains would usually have provided an essential boost by now...
And it may also remind people of the forecasts from climate scientists of still drier conditions to come in the approaching decades.
As soon as Shukman left the area, it rained. A lot. From the Guardian, 7 June 2008:
After months of the worst drought for 60 years, Spain has experienced the wettest May since 1971; it rained on 18 days of the month. Heavy rains have continued into June, which is rare during the Spanish summer...
In Catalonia, the worst affected area, reservoirs whose levels had been reduced to only 20% are now nearly half full.
A proposed water pipeline, cited by Shukman as evidence of the changing climate, was cancelled. From New Europe, 16 June 2008:
The Spanish government recently cancelled a controversial plan to build a 62-kilometre pipeline to divert water from the river Ebro in the Tarragona region to the Catalan capital Barcelona, Deputy Prime Minister Maria Teresa Fernandez de la Vega said. There was no longer the situation of "extraordinary necessity" that had prompted the plan, Vega said.
If Shukman did a follow-up pointing any of this out, I can't find it online.
Here are some images from his May 2008 report. This, remember, was explained with reference to climate change:
And here are some images taken from a Spanish blog in October 2009 showing the blogger's recent kayaking trip to the same Sau reservoir:
The blogger states (via Google Translate):
This year the Sau had a significant level in the water, exposing only the latest instalment of the famous bell tower of the church of Sant Romà de Sau.
As far as the BBC is concerned, some weather events are more climate change than others.
Update 8 January 10.40am. The BBC School Report website offers children the benefit of David Shukman's top ten tips for reporting the environment. In tip 7 Shukman tells the kids:
If it's about a drought, stand in a dried-out reservoir.
If the drought then suddenly ends, thus undermining your narrative, don't worry - just move on to the next alarmist story.
Best of all is this sentence from tip 9:
You're an ambassador for common-sense in a world of spin.
Who knew Shukman had such a sense of humour? (Hyphenating "common sense" in that context isn't setting a very good example to budding journalists, though.)
http://biased-bbc.blogspot.com/2010/01/david-shukman-on-weather-and-climate.html
The BBC make a very good example of how The Mythology of Man-Made Global Warming is perpetuated by a media machine bent on a blind political agenda rather than delivering reliable information.I have brought this up here before (Aug 2009 'BBC Policy to Stifle Global Warming Science Critics'), with reference to accusations from celebrated botanist David Bellamy and retired BBC news anchor man Peter Sissons, and here we find this obvious corruption of broadcasting again illustrated clearly in the article below which comes interestingly enough from a Blogger at http://www.biased-bbc.blogspot.com./in reference to the BBC's latest attempt to explain away Britains coldest winter in many years.
carbonman 16/01/2010
David Shukman on weather and climate
Thursday, January 07, 2010
Following yesterday's item aimed at making sure the kids are still on message about MMGW, today we had Newsround for grown-ups. In a report which aired on the 6 pm news on both BBC 1 and Radio 4 this evening, David Shukman explained:
"The key thing is that there's a difference between the weather and the climate. The weather's what you get day by day, month by month, like this cold spell. But the climate is the kind of weather you get over a thirty year period, and that's what the scientists say is changing."
He was a little less clear about any distinctions back in May 2008 when he reported on a dry spell affecting Spain:
In a year that so far ranks as Spain's driest since records began 60 years ago, the reservoir is currently holding as little as 18% of its capacity - at a time of year when winter rains would usually have provided an essential boost by now...
And it may also remind people of the forecasts from climate scientists of still drier conditions to come in the approaching decades.
As soon as Shukman left the area, it rained. A lot. From the Guardian, 7 June 2008:
After months of the worst drought for 60 years, Spain has experienced the wettest May since 1971; it rained on 18 days of the month. Heavy rains have continued into June, which is rare during the Spanish summer...
In Catalonia, the worst affected area, reservoirs whose levels had been reduced to only 20% are now nearly half full.
A proposed water pipeline, cited by Shukman as evidence of the changing climate, was cancelled. From New Europe, 16 June 2008:
The Spanish government recently cancelled a controversial plan to build a 62-kilometre pipeline to divert water from the river Ebro in the Tarragona region to the Catalan capital Barcelona, Deputy Prime Minister Maria Teresa Fernandez de la Vega said. There was no longer the situation of "extraordinary necessity" that had prompted the plan, Vega said.
If Shukman did a follow-up pointing any of this out, I can't find it online.
Here are some images from his May 2008 report. This, remember, was explained with reference to climate change:
And here are some images taken from a Spanish blog in October 2009 showing the blogger's recent kayaking trip to the same Sau reservoir:
The blogger states (via Google Translate):
This year the Sau had a significant level in the water, exposing only the latest instalment of the famous bell tower of the church of Sant Romà de Sau.
As far as the BBC is concerned, some weather events are more climate change than others.
Update 8 January 10.40am. The BBC School Report website offers children the benefit of David Shukman's top ten tips for reporting the environment. In tip 7 Shukman tells the kids:
If it's about a drought, stand in a dried-out reservoir.
If the drought then suddenly ends, thus undermining your narrative, don't worry - just move on to the next alarmist story.
Best of all is this sentence from tip 9:
You're an ambassador for common-sense in a world of spin.
Who knew Shukman had such a sense of humour? (Hyphenating "common sense" in that context isn't setting a very good example to budding journalists, though.)
http://biased-bbc.blogspot.com/2010/01/david-shukman-on-weather-and-climate.html
Climate Misinformation and Contradictions Continue Despite Extremely Cold Winter Across Northern Hemisphere...United Kingdom Meteorological Office were involved in the skullduggery at the CRU through the Hadley Centre
By Dr. Tim Ball Thursday, January 14, 2010
Now they lecture us on the meaning of current conditions. “The UK Met Office climate change bureau has issued a stinging attack on the idea that recent falls in global temperature might mean that global warming is over or has been exaggerated.”
This parallels in stupidity the claim that the leaked emails of the Climatic Research Unit (CRU alter nothing. The statement shows how ignorant of weather and climate the UKMO people are and why they consistently fail.
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/18950
.
By Dr. Tim Ball Thursday, January 14, 2010
Extreme cold weather across the Northern Hemisphere drew attention away from the leaked files from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) that showed how the entire work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was falsified. The cold simply isn’t supposed to happen. As Kevin Trenberth of the CRU gang said on 12 October 2009, “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.” It’s true only because they can’t hide the reality.
Those who claim the cold weather alters nothing provided the real laugh. Most ridiculous of these came from the United Kingdom Meteorological Office (UKMO). They were involved in the skullduggery at the CRU through the Hadley Centre. UKMO is a major promoter of the IPCC and their former Director Sir John Houghton left to become a prime mover in the early formation of the IPCC.
UKMO is among the most useless weather bureaus in the world because of totally failed forecasts and blind adherence to false science. This was supposed to be a mild winter. Last summer was supposed to be a “barbecue summer”, and in the previous summer they were equally 100% wrong.
This parallels in stupidity the claim that the leaked emails of the Climatic Research Unit (CRU alter nothing. The statement shows how ignorant of weather and climate the UKMO people are and why they consistently fail.
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/18950
.
New Book On Climategate
The Crutape Letters
By Steven Mosher, Thomas W. Fuller

The Climategate scandal covered from beginning to end--from 'Hide the Decline' to the current day. Written by two authors who were on the scene--Steven Mosher and Tom Fuller--Climategate takes you behind that scene and shows what happened and why.
For those who have heard that the emails were taken out of context--we provide that context and show it is worse when context is provided.
For those who have heard that this is a tempest in a teacup--we show why it will swamp the conventional wisdom on climate change.
And for those who have heard that this scandal is just 'boys being boys'--well, boy. It's as seamy as what happened on Wall Street.
About the author:
Steven M Mosher, born in Grand Rapids Michigan, graduated Northwestern University and attended UCLA for graduate studies in literature. He later joined Northrop Aircraft where he worked as an threat analyst and director of analysis until transitioning to the commercial world in 1995 when he joined Creative Labs as a director of marketing and product development. Since 1995 he has specialized in the development of new consumer technologies such as 3D graphics, web cameras, Mp3 players and a variety of wireless devices. Since 2007 he has worked in the open source community and has been active leader in the effort to get open access to the data and code underlying climate science.
Thomas Fuller was born in Denver Colorado and currently lives in San Francisco. Trained by the U.S. Navy in electronics and cryptography, he has been writing about technology ever since, usually market research reports with exciting titles like 'Project Global Market for Infusion Pumps 2009-2014.' This is a lot of fun by comparison.
http://www.createspace.com/3423467
The Crutape Letters
By Steven Mosher, Thomas W. Fuller
The Climategate scandal covered from beginning to end--from 'Hide the Decline' to the current day. Written by two authors who were on the scene--Steven Mosher and Tom Fuller--Climategate takes you behind that scene and shows what happened and why.
For those who have heard that the emails were taken out of context--we provide that context and show it is worse when context is provided.
For those who have heard that this is a tempest in a teacup--we show why it will swamp the conventional wisdom on climate change.
And for those who have heard that this scandal is just 'boys being boys'--well, boy. It's as seamy as what happened on Wall Street.
About the author:
Steven M Mosher, born in Grand Rapids Michigan, graduated Northwestern University and attended UCLA for graduate studies in literature. He later joined Northrop Aircraft where he worked as an threat analyst and director of analysis until transitioning to the commercial world in 1995 when he joined Creative Labs as a director of marketing and product development. Since 1995 he has specialized in the development of new consumer technologies such as 3D graphics, web cameras, Mp3 players and a variety of wireless devices. Since 2007 he has worked in the open source community and has been active leader in the effort to get open access to the data and code underlying climate science.
Thomas Fuller was born in Denver Colorado and currently lives in San Francisco. Trained by the U.S. Navy in electronics and cryptography, he has been writing about technology ever since, usually market research reports with exciting titles like 'Project Global Market for Infusion Pumps 2009-2014.' This is a lot of fun by comparison.
http://www.createspace.com/3423467
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Antarctic sea water shows 'no sign' of warming
January 12 2010
SEA water under an East Antarctic ice shelf showed no sign of higher temperatures despite fears of a thaw linked to global warming that could bring higher world ocean levels, first tests showed yesterday.
"The water under the ice shelf is very close to the freezing point," Ole Anders Noest of the Norwegian Polar Institute wrote after drilling through the Fimbul, which is between 250m and 400m thick.
"This situation seems to be stable, suggesting that the melting under the ice shelf does not increase," he wrote of the first drilling cores.
"The important thing is that we are now in a position to monitor the water beneath the ice shelf.
"If there is a warming in future we can tell."
The last IPCC report, in 2007, did not include computer models for sea temperature around the Fimbul Ice Shelf.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/antartic-sea-water-shows-no-sign-of-warming
January 12 2010
SEA water under an East Antarctic ice shelf showed no sign of higher temperatures despite fears of a thaw linked to global warming that could bring higher world ocean levels, first tests showed yesterday.
"The water under the ice shelf is very close to the freezing point," Ole Anders Noest of the Norwegian Polar Institute wrote after drilling through the Fimbul, which is between 250m and 400m thick.
"This situation seems to be stable, suggesting that the melting under the ice shelf does not increase," he wrote of the first drilling cores.
"The important thing is that we are now in a position to monitor the water beneath the ice shelf.
"If there is a warming in future we can tell."
The last IPCC report, in 2007, did not include computer models for sea temperature around the Fimbul Ice Shelf.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/antartic-sea-water-shows-no-sign-of-warming
Sunday, December 20, 2009
From The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley in Copenagen
The mountains shall labor, and what will be born? A stupid little mouse. Thanks to hundreds of thousands of US citizens who contacted their elected representatives to protest about the unelected, communistic world government with near-infinite powers of taxation, regulation and intervention that was proposed in early drafts of the Copenhagen Treaty, there is no Copenhagen Treaty. There is not even a Copenhagen Agreement. There is a “Copenhagen Accord”.
The White House spinmeisters spun, and their official press release proclaimed, with more than usual fatuity, that President Obama had “salvaged” a deal at Copenhagen in bilateral talks with China, India, Brazil, and South Africa, which had established a negotiating bloc.
The plainly-declared common position of these four developing nations had been the one beacon of clarity and common sense at the foggy fortnight of posturing and gibbering in the ghastly Copenhagen conference center.
This is what the Forthright Four asked for:
Point 1. No compulsory limits on carbon emissions.
Point 2. No emissions reductions at all unless the West paid for them.
Point 3. No international monitoring of any emissions reductions not paid for by the West.
Point 4. No use of “global warming” as an excuse to impose protectionist trade restrictions on countries that did not cut their carbon emissions.
After President Obama’s dramatic intervention to save the deal, this is what the Forthright Four got:
Point 1. No compulsory limits on carbon emissions.
Point 2. No emissions reductions at all unless the West paid for them.
Point 3. No international monitoring of any emissions reductions not paid for by the West.
Point 4. No use of “global warming” as an excuse to impose protectionist trade restrictions on countries that did not cut their carbon emissions.
Here, in a nutshell – for fortunately nothing larger is needed – are the main points of the ”Copenhagen Accord”:
Main points: In the Copenhagen Accord, which is operational immediately, the parties“underline that climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time”; emphasize their “strong political will to urgently combat climate change”; recognize “the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be below 2 C°” and perhaps below 1.5 C°; aspire to “cooperate in achieving the peaking of global and national emissions as soon as possible”; acknowledge that eradicating poverty is the “overriding priority of developing countries”; and accept the need to help vulnerable countries – especially the least developed nations, small-island states, and Africa – to adapt to climate change.
Self-imposed emissions targets: All parties will set for themselves, and comply with, emissions targets for 2020, to be submitted to the secretariat by 31 January 2010. Where developing countries are paid to cut their emissions, their compliance will be monitored. Developed countries will financially support less-developed countries to prevent deforestation. Carbon trading may be used.
New bureaucracies and funding: Under the supervision of a “High-Level Panel”, developed countries will give up to $30 billion for 2010-12, aiming for $100 billion by 2020, in “scaled up, new and additional, predictable and adequate funding” to developing countries via a “Copenhagen Green Fund”. A “Technology Mechanism” will “accelerate technology development and transfer” to developing countries.
And that’s it. Expensive, yes. Unnecessary, yes. But earth-shaking? No.
The disconnect between the gaseous halations of various grandstanding “world leaders” about the supposedly urgent need to “Save The Planet Now” and the puny outcome of the Copenhagen Non-Event is dazzling. And it is welcome.
For all the rhetoric – or the flatulence that passes for rhetoric these days – it has begun to dawn on the “leaders” of those nations that subject them to regular recall and re-election that the people no longer believe the mad scientists are telling them the truth. And the people are right.
What is more, after the failure of the mainstream news media to report what the malevolent and unpleasant scientists involved in the Climategate affair had written to one another about those with whom they disagreed, or about what they had done to invent, fabricate, contrive, fiddle, tweak, alter, massage, conceal, hide or even destroy scientific data for the sake of protecting and peddling the pseudo-science in which environment correspondents had so readily and so ignorantly believed, the people no longer trust the media.
And that is bad news for a governing class that has come to develop a far-too-cosy relationship with the mainstream media. It is also very bad news for the mainstream media themselves, which are now rapidly losing circulation and ad revenue as the people rightly desert them for the Internet, where - notwithstanding various expensive attempts by the over-funded international Left to interfere with Google and Yahoo searches - the truth is still available if you know where to look.
Copenhagen was the last-chance saloon not for the planet, which does not need saving, but for the UN’s world-government wannabes. They blew it, big-time, by believing their own overspun propaganda about planetary peril and thinking they had “world leaders” where they wanted them. They overreached themselves, and have paid the price.
Even though next year is an el Nino year accompanied by fast-recovering solar activity, 2010 may not, after all, set a new global-temperature record to overtop that which was set in 1998, the year of the Great el Nino. By the time the next yackfest takes place in Mexico City in December 2010, the steam will have gone out of the “global warming” scare. We should not let our guard down, but Copenhagen is more than the end of the beginning for Green fascism: it is the beginning of the end. The eco-Nazis’ attempt at global bureaucratic coup d’etat has failed, and no such attempt is likely to succeed again. Too many of you are watching.
Parturient montes: nascetur ridiculus mus
The mountains shall labor, and what will be born? A stupid little mouse. Thanks to hundreds of thousands of US citizens who contacted their elected representatives to protest about the unelected, communistic world government with near-infinite powers of taxation, regulation and intervention that was proposed in early drafts of the Copenhagen Treaty, there is no Copenhagen Treaty. There is not even a Copenhagen Agreement. There is a “Copenhagen Accord”.
The White House spinmeisters spun, and their official press release proclaimed, with more than usual fatuity, that President Obama had “salvaged” a deal at Copenhagen in bilateral talks with China, India, Brazil, and South Africa, which had established a negotiating bloc.
The plainly-declared common position of these four developing nations had been the one beacon of clarity and common sense at the foggy fortnight of posturing and gibbering in the ghastly Copenhagen conference center.
This is what the Forthright Four asked for:
Point 1. No compulsory limits on carbon emissions.
Point 2. No emissions reductions at all unless the West paid for them.
Point 3. No international monitoring of any emissions reductions not paid for by the West.
Point 4. No use of “global warming” as an excuse to impose protectionist trade restrictions on countries that did not cut their carbon emissions.
After President Obama’s dramatic intervention to save the deal, this is what the Forthright Four got:
Point 1. No compulsory limits on carbon emissions.
Point 2. No emissions reductions at all unless the West paid for them.
Point 3. No international monitoring of any emissions reductions not paid for by the West.
Point 4. No use of “global warming” as an excuse to impose protectionist trade restrictions on countries that did not cut their carbon emissions.
Here, in a nutshell – for fortunately nothing larger is needed – are the main points of the ”Copenhagen Accord”:
Main points: In the Copenhagen Accord, which is operational immediately, the parties“underline that climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time”; emphasize their “strong political will to urgently combat climate change”; recognize “the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be below 2 C°” and perhaps below 1.5 C°; aspire to “cooperate in achieving the peaking of global and national emissions as soon as possible”; acknowledge that eradicating poverty is the “overriding priority of developing countries”; and accept the need to help vulnerable countries – especially the least developed nations, small-island states, and Africa – to adapt to climate change.
Self-imposed emissions targets: All parties will set for themselves, and comply with, emissions targets for 2020, to be submitted to the secretariat by 31 January 2010. Where developing countries are paid to cut their emissions, their compliance will be monitored. Developed countries will financially support less-developed countries to prevent deforestation. Carbon trading may be used.
New bureaucracies and funding: Under the supervision of a “High-Level Panel”, developed countries will give up to $30 billion for 2010-12, aiming for $100 billion by 2020, in “scaled up, new and additional, predictable and adequate funding” to developing countries via a “Copenhagen Green Fund”. A “Technology Mechanism” will “accelerate technology development and transfer” to developing countries.
And that’s it. Expensive, yes. Unnecessary, yes. But earth-shaking? No.
The disconnect between the gaseous halations of various grandstanding “world leaders” about the supposedly urgent need to “Save The Planet Now” and the puny outcome of the Copenhagen Non-Event is dazzling. And it is welcome.
For all the rhetoric – or the flatulence that passes for rhetoric these days – it has begun to dawn on the “leaders” of those nations that subject them to regular recall and re-election that the people no longer believe the mad scientists are telling them the truth. And the people are right.
What is more, after the failure of the mainstream news media to report what the malevolent and unpleasant scientists involved in the Climategate affair had written to one another about those with whom they disagreed, or about what they had done to invent, fabricate, contrive, fiddle, tweak, alter, massage, conceal, hide or even destroy scientific data for the sake of protecting and peddling the pseudo-science in which environment correspondents had so readily and so ignorantly believed, the people no longer trust the media.
And that is bad news for a governing class that has come to develop a far-too-cosy relationship with the mainstream media. It is also very bad news for the mainstream media themselves, which are now rapidly losing circulation and ad revenue as the people rightly desert them for the Internet, where - notwithstanding various expensive attempts by the over-funded international Left to interfere with Google and Yahoo searches - the truth is still available if you know where to look.
Copenhagen was the last-chance saloon not for the planet, which does not need saving, but for the UN’s world-government wannabes. They blew it, big-time, by believing their own overspun propaganda about planetary peril and thinking they had “world leaders” where they wanted them. They overreached themselves, and have paid the price.
Even though next year is an el Nino year accompanied by fast-recovering solar activity, 2010 may not, after all, set a new global-temperature record to overtop that which was set in 1998, the year of the Great el Nino. By the time the next yackfest takes place in Mexico City in December 2010, the steam will have gone out of the “global warming” scare. We should not let our guard down, but Copenhagen is more than the end of the beginning for Green fascism: it is the beginning of the end. The eco-Nazis’ attempt at global bureaucratic coup d’etat has failed, and no such attempt is likely to succeed again. Too many of you are watching.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
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